I want to know what you see in Longoria, that would make you think he would not be able to follow up on it next year? And believe me the guy knows how to make adjustments. It dosent take teams all year to figure a player out. He has obviously made some good adjustments himself.
I'm not saying that he's an over-achiever. I'm just saying that he's a rookie and rookies are hard to figure out. A lot of the times, rookies get a decent amount of success from being unknown to the league. Nobody really knows how to pitch to them (if they're a fielder) and nobody knows how to hit them (if they're a pitcher). And no, not
every single rookie that has success will suck ass the following year, but I'm willing to bet that it happens more often than not.
The thing that I see in Longoria that makes me believe that me might not to be able to follow up on his success next year...he's a rookie. You can't look at rookies, who have
never played before and have
no proven track record, and get an honest read on how good they
really are. I'm a die hard White Sox fan and I've had the pleasure of seeing Alexei Ramirez play this year. He did really well, but I'm not confident that he's going to be all that great next year. Why? Because he's a rookie and
anything can happen.
Just to give you an example of what I'm trying to say, I'll list some players from recent history, that had pretty good rookie seasons (by rookie standards), were noted to be an up-and-coming
star by analysts, fans and experts, but, couldn't follow up on it...
(just off the top of my head)
Troy Tulowitzki
Reggie Willits
Carlos Ruiz
Melky Cabrera
Billy Butler
Philip Hughes
Homer Bailey
Ronny Paulino
Joel Zumaya
Matt Cain
Josh Barfield
Chuck James
Scott Olsen
Where are those "stars" now? :dunno:
Once again, Longoria
could end up being a career long phenom, but I wouldn't jump on his bandwagon just quite yet. Once he puts 3 or 4 good seasons under his belt, then I'll say that he's a rock-solid success.