In the afternoon of what will become the final evening of European qualifiers for the World Cup, here is a special Stiff Guide To Qualifying for what might or might not happen tonight.
GROUP A
FIXTURES
Serbia V Macedonia
Belgium V Wales
Belgium Vs Wales
Scotland V Croatia
Who are through?
Belgium have already won the group and Croatia will finish second.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
See above.
GROUP b
FIXTURES
Bulgaria V Czech Rep.
Denmark V Malta
Italy V Armenia
Who are through?
Italy have romped the group.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
Well.... Bulgaria and Denmark each have 13 points, Armenia and Czechs both 12. Basically if Bulgaria win, they finish 2nd. If the Czechs hold them to a draw, you'd expect Denmark to clinch 2nd by beating Malta. If the Czechs win in Bulgaria, that would be enough only if Denmark slip up, as they have a better goal difference by 4 than Armenia who realistically have to win in Rome to even be in with a shout, and even then they'd either have to overtake the Czechs on goal difference and Denmark not beat Malta or simply win by any margin and hope that both Bulgaria v Czechs AND Denmark v Malta finish in draws. Ain't happening.
In simplest terms, Czechs win, they come 2nd. They don't, then it's probably Denmark, because they'll surely hammer Malta. Might be a moot point in the end because unless France draw with Finland tonight and Turkey and Romania both lose and Hungary draw or lose in their group, this group is likely to produce the team with the lowest points total finishing 2nd and miss out on a play-off place as it's 8 out of 9 that go through to the play-offs.
GROUP C
FIXTURES
Faroe Islands V Austria
R. of Ireland V Kazakhstan
Sweden V Germany
Who are through?
Germany have already won the group and Sweden secured 2nd.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
See above.
GROUP D
FIXTURES
Hungary V Andorra
Romania V Estonia
Turkey V Holland
Who are through?
Holland have romped it.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
Turkey and Romania each have 16, the Turks are 4 goals better off, Hungary are on 14. Turkey win, they're through to the play-offs. If the Dutch take a point off them or beat them (possible) then Romania will nip in by beating Estonia (probable). Worth remembering that the Dutch have nothing to play for... then again, last time out against Hungary they had nothing to play for, and scored 8. Hungary only have a chance if they win (they will) and both Turkey and Romania lose. I think I'm leaning towards Romania.
GROUP E
FIXTURES
Cyprus V Albania
Norway V Iceland
Switzerland V Slovenia
Who are through?
Switzerland have qualified.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
Iceland have 16 points, Slovenia 15. Slovenia have better goal difference. If Iceland win, they come 2nd. If they draw or lose, Slovenia only have to better their result because of the goal difference. Simples.
GROUP F
FIXTURES
Azerbaijan V Russia
Israel V Northern Ireland
Portugal V Luxembourg
Who are through?
Russia have already won the group and Portugal secured 2nd.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
See above.
GROUP G
FIXTURES
Greece V Leichtenstein
Lithuania V Bosnia-Herzegovina
Latvia V Slovakia
Who are through?
Bosnia and Greece will come top and second, they both have 22 points, but Greece's goal difference is +6 to Bosnia's +23.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
Bosnia win, they top the group. If not, Greece top the group if they better Bosnia's result. Realistically speaking, both win, Bosnia top.
GROUP H
FIXTURES
England V Poland
Montenegro V Moldova
San Marino V Ukraine
Who are through?
England on 19 points and Ukraine on 18 will come top and second unless Montenegro smash Moldova and Ukraine get smashed by San Marino (LOL) to the tune of reversing the 12 goal swing in the goal difference between Ukraine and Montenegro. That's Ukraine that put 9 on San Marino in their last meeting. Not happening really, is it?
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
An England win, they top the group. Anything less and they settle for a play-off place because Ukraine WILL dick all over San Marino just like everybody does.
GROUP I
FIXTURES
France V Finland
Spain V Georgia
Who are through?
Spain top the group unless France beat Finland (possible) and they lose at home to Georgia..... yeah.
Who could finish where tonight and what needs to happen?
France can't be caught in 2nd but will need to win to guarantee not finishing as the 2nd place team with the lowest points total and hence miss out on a play-off place.