Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney are the would-be candidates that Americans most want to run for president in 2016, while solid pluralities would prefer that Chris Christie and Rick Perry sit this election out, according to a new CBS News Poll released Sunday.
The poll also indicates that a number of potential 2016 contenders remain largely unknown to the general public, or, at least, are being met with a smattering of indifference.
Leading the way is former Secretary of State Clinton, with 85 percent of the surveyed Democrats expressing approval for a potential candidacy by her, against only 11 percent who opposed that idea. Also, 51 percent of independents liked the idea of her running. She was the only would-be contender supported by a majority of independents; the survey did not question members of the opposite party.
Next up was 2012 Republican contender Mitt Romney, whose would-be candidacy drew a positive reaction from 59 percent of Republicans vs. 26 percent who didn’t like the idea. However, 49 percent of the independents surveyed were not pleased with the idea.
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush had slightly lower approval ratings — 50 percent of Republicans — but a comparable negative rating to Romney’s — 27 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who ran in 2008, also drew significant support, with 40 percent of Republicans saying they’d be happy to see him try again (with 29 percent saying no).
No Democrat was anywhere near Clinton, with the closest being Vice President Joe Biden, whose split (40 percent supporting a candidacy, 38 percent opposed) at least demonstrated name recognition for the person who has been a heartbeat away from the presidency for the past six years.
Most of the other would-be contenders would seem to have a ton of work to do if they have any hope of hearing “Hail to the Chief” played in their honor in January 2017.
The highest net disapproval ratings all belonged to Republicans: former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (30 percent yes, 59 percent no), New Jersey Gov. Christie (29 percent yes, 44 percent no) and longtime Texas Gov. Perry (21 percent yes, 32 percent no). Those numbers were just their numbers among Republicans; among independents, they were all, without exception, worse.
Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul (27 percent yes, 34 percent no) was also underwater, though his numbers with independents (26 percent, 32 percent) were basically the same.
The poll also showed a number of would-be candidates have yet to make any dent nationally.
The key figure for Maryland’s Martin O’Malley, for instance, was 82, the percentage of Democrats who said they “don’t know enough to say” whether they’d like him to puruse the presidency. Only 3 percent voiced support for the idea of an O’Malley candidacy.
Others were also largely met with shrugs.
Among Democrats, those were former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb (78 percent with no opinion), Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (71 percent), New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (65 percent) and first-term Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (57 percent). That’s true even though the number of would-be candidates appears to be appreciably lower on the Democratic side.
Republicans who have as yet not made a huge dent: Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (65 percent with no opinion), Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (64 percent) and conservative activist Ben Carson (61 percent). Faring only slightly better were two highly visible tea-party figures from the Senate’s class of 2010 — Marco Rubio (54 percent with no opinion) of Florida and Ted Cruz (53 percent) of Texas — and another 2012 contender, Rick Santorum (51 percent).