Red Dragon Rising

Yeah, I'm borrowing that title from the late Tom Clancy cause it sounds bad-ass and it's fitting.

This thread for all things China rising to or trying to supplant America as the world's preeminent superpower and the ever increasing likelihood of a U.S.-Sino War.
 

georges

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Chinese admiral warns Beijing could sink two US aircraft carriers killing 10,000 sailors to win battle for South China Sea

He bragged that China’s new anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles were more than capable of taking out US super carriers

By Jon Lockett
1st January 2019, 5:14 pm
Updated: 2nd January 2019, 7:47 am

Rear Admiral Lou Yuan - deputy head of the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences - made his chilling threat while speaking at a top level military summit.

“What the United States fears the most is taking casualties,” the notoriously outspoken military expert declared.

He said the loss of one super carrier would cost the US the lives of 5,000 service men and women. Sinking two would double that toll.

“We’ll see how frightened America is,” he then said, reports news.com.

He bragged China’s new anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles are more than capable of taking out US carriers, despite them being at the centre of a "bubble" of defensive escorts.

His threats came just ten days after experts warned a war between US and Chinese forces in the South China Sea could break out in 2019.

Concerns are mounting the two superpowers could become embroiled in a terrifying conflict in the directly contested region which could kill thousands of people.

Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst in defence strategy and capability at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute in Canberra, told Sun Online: "Expect greater tension in the South China Sea. China won’t back down – nor will the US.

"The South China Sea will remain a key flashpoint between China and the US, who are now engaged in an extended period of strategic competition."

In his speech, Admiral lou said there were ‘five cornerstones of the United States’ open to exploitation: their military, their money, their talent, their voting system - and their fear of adversaries.

He said China should “use its strength to attack the enemy’s shortcomings. Attack wherever the enemy is afraid of being hit. Wherever the enemy is weak …”

It’s not the controversial commentator’s first aggressive outburst.

In December he said: “If the US naval fleet dares to stop in Taiwan, it is time for the People’s Liberation Army to deploy troops to promote national unity on (invade) the island.

“Achieving China’s complete unity is a necessary requirement. The achievement of the past 40 years of reform and opening-up has given us the capability and confidence to safeguard our sovereignty.

"Those who are trying to stir up trouble in the South China Sea and Taiwan should be careful about their future.”

Observers at the Council on Foreign Relations’ Centre for Preventive Action have ranked the South China Sea as a hotspot as Beijing and Washington refuse to back down over who controls the oil and gas rich region.

Taiwan, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines and Brunei argue they own parts of the sea — and the United States is prepared to back them with military force.

It is feared a showdown is on the cards which could spiral out of control.

Maochum Yu, a history professor at the US Naval Academy in Maryland, said confrontation in the region is all but "inevitable".


https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/8098177/chinese-admiral-south-china-sea-sink-us-aircraft-carriers/

Unfortunately, that is not just bluster on the admiral's part. They have the real capability of area denial to the U.S. Navy in the South China Sea and are counting on it as they continue to militarize those man-made islands.

As the current acting Secretary of Defense Patrick Shanahan said: "Remember China, China, China."
 
and the ever increasing likelihood of a U.S.-Sino War.

The Thucydides Trap which has become cliche:

"What made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta."

It isn't the growth of China as a competing superpower to the U.S. that makes war inevitable but what their diametric ideals represent.

The U.S. supplanted the UK as the world power at the turn of 20th century without a shot fired between them.

That won't be the case this time.
 
To me, what made the US become the #1 superpower was their involvment in WWI : Before that, the US wre just conducting their business on their side of the Atlantic, avoiding any involvment in european's nations' businesses. In 1917, they suddenly became a force to be reckoned with on the global geo-political arena. With their economy barely affected by the war (unlike european nations' economies) and striving, they were able to become the #1 power in the world.
 
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