The Detroit-Baltimore American League Division Series:
Detroit held the advantage during the season finishing at 5-1. However, there is one rather important caveat, the Tigers/Orioles home and home season series took place in April and May this year they haven’t met since May 14th. Both teams have undergone major changes since then so I’m going to discount the regular season record in my evaluation.
Runs Scored: Detroit 757--- Baltimore 705, a slight advantage goes to the Tigers.
Batting Average: The Tigers hold an advantage here with a .277 team batting average to Baltimore’s .256. The Tigers big three hitters are Victor Martinez (.335), J.D. Martinez (.315) and Miguel Cabrera (.313). The Orioles big three are Steve Pearce (.293) Adam Jones (.281), and Nelson Cruz (.271).
Home Runs: Baltimore 211, Detroit 155, the Orioles have the power.
Stolen Bases: Detroit 106, Baltimore 44, the Tigers have the speed, that is provided Rajai Davis (36 steals) has recovered from his groin injury.
Starting Pitching Detroit: Max Scherzer (18-5, 3.15 ERA), David Price (15-12, 3.26 ERA) Rick Porcello (15-13, 3.43 ERA and Justin Verlander (15-12, 4.54 ERA).
Starting Pitching Baltimore: Miguel Gonzalez (10-9, 3.23 ERA) Chris Tillman (13-6, 3.34 ERA), Wei-Yin Chen (16-6, 3.54 ERA) Bud Norris (15-8, 3.65 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (6-9, 4.81 ERA).
Advantage Detroit.
Bullpen Big Three---Detroit: Joakim Soria (3.25 ERA), Joba Chamberlain (3.57 ERA) and Joe Nathan (4.81 ERA).
Bullpen Big Three---Baltimore: Zack Britton (1.65 ERA), Darren O’Day (1.70 ERA) and Andrew Miller (2.02 ERA).
Advantage Baltimore.
Team ERA: Baltimore (3.44), Detroit (4.01) with all of the talk on how great Tigers pitching is Baltimore holds the clear advantage.
Pitching is generally the deciding factor especially in the post season. The advantage goes to Baltimore winning in five games. However, I’m looking for an upset; this Tigers team has been through the postseason pressure before, whereas the Orioles have not. I’m picking Detroit to win in four games.