Current economic crisis....bottomed out yet?...

have the global recession bottomed out

  • Yes

    Votes: 5 10.0%
  • No

    Votes: 37 74.0%
  • not sure

    Votes: 6 12.0%
  • dont care I'm rich!

    Votes: 2 4.0%

  • Total voters
    50
Will the economy get better? Yes it will eventually, but that isn't necessarily saying much. Better than now isn't that hard. Things cycle somewhat. Are we going to have the problems fixed or go back to the way things used to be in America at it's economic height? No, we aren't. We might never get to that point ever again, and at the rate we are going we won't.

There will be some things and some aspects America is never going to recover from. What most people don't realize is that through the last three or four decades we are sort of going through a paradigm shift, and not in a good way. Slowly the normal rules the economist thought would work for the economy are either no longer applying like the used to or didn't happen like they should have. In other parts we were either lied to or used to fuel the growth of the rich. So while we will eventually get "better" than now, at least for a time, the standard that we rise up to will continually get lower each time something like this happens, and more people will get screwed over by it than the last time. I hope most of the people get used to lowered expectations, and continually lowered expectations until we fundamentally change the way our economy and society function on a national and maybe worldwide level. While some people will recover, what needs to be understood is that there will be some that won't and they will just be added to the people that weren't able to recover from last time. Unfortunately, those that get screwed the most and won't be able to recover will be the poorest among us, and then it's going to start working it's way up and is going to get more people. In some ways the "recovery" will be worse than actually getting worse. Because at least if it keeps getting worse people will have to realize what's going on instead of getting fooled into thinking it's getting better, and will be forced to eventually do something about it.

AMEN -
It will get better, but it wont be quick, it wont be easy, and it wont go back to the way it was!
 

Facetious

Moderated
No ! You can't get out of debt by assuming additional debt.

Beware of the

Energy Bubble

Healthcare Bubble

Social Security Bubble

& many many other forms of crisis that only a overbearing fabian socialistic government would encourage.

Our government will not allow for a natural recession to occur because they're too busy financing forward the nationalization of as many private sector enterprises as possible, including banking.

Hate dem greedy bastards in govt !!!
 
Seems like the economy has too many problems to say that the ecopnomy is in any real state of recovery. Commercial real estate could become a problem in the next year or two with more empty malls due to larger chain stores closing(Circuit City is an obvious example). People do not seem to be spending very much money as well which could also slow down any recovery.
 

Facetious

Moderated
^ Great points. :hatsoff:

I, agree about the commercial real estate trouble (soon to be bubble, IMO). It seems like developers took advantage of the influx of cheap foreign insourced labor and built structures that are in many cases are vacant today. Combine that with the outsourcing / off shoring of American industry and you have a recipe for trouble.
I was driving through areas of "the former" Silicon Valley about a month ago and FOR LEASE signs were up in front of many (seemingly 50 %) of the large warehouse - office complexes.

The govt. isn't helping things with their confiscatory corporate tax rates.
It's hard to blame 'em companies for fleeing.
 

ChefChiTown

The secret ingredient? MY BALLS
I hope people saw this week's episode of South Park. It was making fun of how crazy everybody is getting over our economy, acting like it's some sort of all-powerful being...even though we are the ones who created it.
 
Well some progress is being made at the G20 summit...dow jones is over 8000 points right now the big 3 are planning and writing proposals to get bailouts....things aren't perfect...job losses continue to mount and the economy is still uncertain but I believe things are heading in the right direction...the world survived the dot.com bubble, the fall of enron and worldcom...
 
well the dow jones ant TSX all are up quite considerable since march....numbers all around are getting better....thoughts?....is the economy getting better?....
 
well the dow jones ant TSX all are up quite considerable since march....numbers all around are getting better....thoughts?....is the economy getting better?....

Not around here it's not. Michigan has been way too dependent on ONE industry for a century now. The polititians keep giving lip service about diversity. Nothing changes though. Oh well, fuck it. I'm going fishin' now.:wave2:
 
i haven't heard much about lending going up yet but i may have missed something. however, if companies can't get money for payrolls more smaller companies will continue to fail. since the dow, s&p, and nasdaq are not a reflection of smaller companies tho they improve the national gdp will go down over the course of this year unless sensible lending begins to happen. as these smaller companies fail unemployment will continue to rise too, also no bueno.
 

georges

Moderator
Staff member
I hardly see things improving especially on the long run. The illusion of things going well is a sign that the worse is to come.
 
I read somewhere the other day that banks are right back doing high risk investing...again with little to break their fall...I guess we won't be satisfied until we destroy it all and the highest priced commodity becomes be the ability to make fire.
 
(Wash/rinse/repeat - they can't help themselves.) And: it's the two percentile extremely affluent Americans who have, relatively speaking I mean, been untouched by the bloodbath in Markets since Sep. 08 to March 09. Sure, many have seen some of their savings/capital wiped out and been plagued by Madoff et al., but they have been able to preserve much of their capital - unlike the common folk. This is why we are seeing the Luxury Goods Index, for example, showing such a remarkable come-back in the last few months.

That two percentile could well be enough to pull off a remarkable economic recovery (think of durable goods for example), and at the very least curb any further decline - we're seeing this now. Will unemployment continue to rise? Yes? Will the market fall back to Dow 7000?? Unlikely. Will the Fed:conehead: raise rates? No. Will the savings rate continue to decline? Worryingly, yes. All that talk about deflation - no Fear now, except Fear itself:shocked:
 
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