The Coming Republican Demographic Disaster

[Straight Shooter]

That's a chart taken from a new Pew study of the Hispanic population in the United States. Here's what you need to pay attention to: Almost six in 10 Hispanics and 51 percent of African Americans are 33 years old or younger. Less than four in 10 whites are 33 or younger.

What does this have to do with politics? A HUGE amount.

Consider that in the 2012 election, Mitt Romney won just 27 percent of the Hispanic vote and just 6 percent of the black vote. In an electorate that was 72 percent white, Romney was able to stay competitive thanks to winning the white vote by 20 points. But, he still lost. And lost convincingly to President Obama.

The Cook Political Report's David Wasserman explains the problem for Republicans well in this post for 538:

In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 56 percent of all white voters and won election in a 44-state landslide. In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried 59 percent of all white voters yet lost decisively. What happened? African Americans, Latinos, Asians and other non-whites — all overwhelmingly Democratic-leaning groups — rose from 12 percent of voters in 1980 to 28 percent in 2012.

The white vote as a percentage of the overall electorate has been in steady decline since the 1980s and, judging from birth patterns as illustrated by the Pew chart above, that trend seems very unlikely to change. Need more evidence of just how white the Republican party is today? In 2012, just one in every 10 people who voted for Mitt Romney was not white. Forty-four percent of the people who voted for Barack Obama weren't white.

If you are a Republican party strategist trying to elect a president down the road, here's what you are faced with:

1. The white vote, which you are increasingly dependent on, is getting older — and shrinking.

2. The non-white vote, which is moving progressively further and further away from your party, is growing by leaps and bounds.

At some point in the not too-distance future — 2016 may be that future — winning the white vote by 25 or even 30 points, which is very, very hard to do for any candidate, may not be enough to make up for the massive losses Republicans are experiencing among the growing contingent of non-white voters.

Those basic demographic facts are why the 2012 Republican autopsy recommended that the party find a way to be for some form of comprehensive immigration reform. That the party not only hasn't done that but is well on its way to nominating a candidate who advocates building a wall across the southern border and making Mexico pay for it speaks to how damaging the 2016 campaign has been for the GOP.

If nothing changes — in terms of the booming growth among non-white voters and the GOP's inability to communicate with them — the 2016 election may only be the tip of the demographic iceberg for Republicans. The 2020 and 2024 presidential elections could be blowouts.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...can-demographic-disaster-in-1-stunning-chart/

Add me to that 32% of Hispanics

 

[Jack Davenport]

We're getting ready to change all of that. No more birthright citizenship for the spawn of illegals, close the fucking borders. Article V convention of the States. Republicans control 36 state legislatures, we can ram anything we want with a 2/3 majority. Decades of liberal underhanded tactics purposely trying to change the demographics have woken a sleeping giant.

You're going to be sucking your thumb in the fetal position when it all goes down.

 

[Straight Shooter]

We're getting ready to change all of that. No more birthright citizenship for the spawn of illegals, close the fucking borders. Article V convention of the States. Republicans control 36 state legislatures, we can ram anything we want with a 2/3 majority. Decades of liberal underhanded tactics purposely trying to change the demographics have woken a sleeping giant.

You're going to be sucking your thumb in the fetal position when it all goes down.

The numbers might look good for the Democrats but the problem is that those old white people actually vote unlike the millennial who only show up for presidential elections

 

[Jack Davenport]

Another thing about Article V that should concern you. The 36 legislatures can move to revert back to when U.S. Senators are appointed by the legislatures and not elected. That would mean a 72-28 supermajority by today's numbers.

Go red States!

 

[Straight Shooter]

Another thing about Article V that should concern you. The 36 legislatures can move to revert back to when U.S. Senators are appointed by the legislatures and not elected. That would mean a 72-28 supermajority by today's numbers.

Go red States!

Why would it concern me? Am I member of the Democratic party?

 

[Jack Davenport]

Why would it concern me? Am I member of the Democratic party?

72 GOP senators compared to 28 Dems wouldn't concern you?

M'kay

 

[RJS12]

Trump 2016!!!!!

 

[zeeblofowl_1969]

If the GOP Rams its dogma down Americas throat will the worm may get the open conflict he craves because any true American will not tolerate fascism.

 

[Jack Davenport]

If the GOP Rams its dogma down Americas throat will the worm may get the open conflict he craves because any true American will not tolerate fascism.

It's called the constitution genius.

Fascism is what your side engaged in.

You know, things that happen after decades of open borders?

 

[Supafly]

A lot of whistling in the woods.

Won't hlp you when the levee breaks on election day.

 

[Jack Davenport]

A lot of whistling in the woods.

Won't hlp you when the levee breaks on election day.

An Article V convention of the States is a liberal's worst nightmare. You have no understanding as to what can be accomplished through one. Supreme Court justices can be term limited, The 2nd Amendment can be fortified. Same sex marriage, abortion can all be overturned. In fact, it is hardly whistling in the woods.

A Hillary Clinton presidency would more than likely make an Article V an expedited reality. We have the numbers in governorships and legislatures to make it happen now. It has been a gross miscalculation by the left to focus on executive orders and SCOTUS appointees and open borders to change the country.

Everything that liberals have achieved over the past 40 years can be thrown out in one fell swoop through Article V.

The constitution:

Learn it.

Live it.

Love it.

http://www.conventionofstates.com/

 

[zeeblofowl_1969]

So predictable.
You are not stupid so I'm assuming most of the time you are just entertaining yourself.
Obama is an amazing man to be a socialist, liberal, facist, world dominator???

 

[sean miguel]

Romney won the white vote, he won the independents.

So the obvious solution with a republican president (Trump) and assuming a republican held congress, and a 5-4 balance in the supremes, is to go with a malleable, internationalist view of the constitution like our more enlightened justices advocate and cite saudi arabia and other like countries. Allow only men to vote, with the exception of property owners, tax payers and all those who put their ass on the line in the police force, fire depts or military. Demographic problem solved.

Those who leech on the system should have no say. Especially the mexicans.

 

[sean miguel]

An Article V convention of the States is a liberal's worst nightmare. You have no understanding as to what can be accomplished through one. Supreme Court justices can be term limited, The 2nd Amendment can be fortified. Same sex marriage, abortion can all be overturned. In fact, it is hardly whistling in the woods.

A Hillary Clinton presidency would more than likely make an Article V an expedited reality. We have the numbers in governorships and legislatures to make it happen now. It has been a gross miscalculation by the left to focus on executive orders and SCOTUS appointees and open borders to change the country.

Everything that liberals have achieved over the past 40 years can be thrown out in one fell swoop through Article V.

The constitution:

Learn it.

Live it.

Love it.

http://www.conventionofstates.com/

why BC is a credit to this board.

 

[Straight Shooter]

An Article V convention of the States is a liberal's worst nightmare. You have no understanding as to what can be accomplished through one. Supreme Court justices can be term limited, The 2nd Amendment can be fortified. Same sex marriage, abortion can all be overturned. In fact, it is hardly whistling in the woods.

A Hillary Clinton presidency would more than likely make an Article V an expedited reality. We have the numbers in governorships and legislatures to make it happen now. It has been a gross miscalculation by the left to focus on executive orders and SCOTUS appointees and open borders to change the country.

Everything that liberals have achieved over the past 40 years can be thrown out in one fell swoop through Article V.

The constitution:

Learn it.

Live it.

Love it.

http://www.conventionofstates.com/

"We have the numbers in governorships and legislatures to make it happen now"

You sound like one of those sports fans who say "we won". :1orglaugh

 

[Jack Davenport]

Well I actually participate in this game we called politics.

We the people and all of that good shit.

 

[zeeblofowl_1969]

Well I actually participate in this game we called politics.

We the people and all of that good shit.

As do I crazy man as do I.

 

[zeeblofowl_1969]

why BC is a credit to this board.

When he's on his game that guys sharp but sometimes he's just loco.

 

[Straight Shooter]

When he's on his game that guys sharp but sometimes he's just loco.

:1orglaugh

 

[Jack Davenport]

:badgeofhonor