Matt Birk is one of three players union representatives for the Baltimore Ravens, and he'll attend important union meetings next month in Marco Island, Fla.
The chances of an NFL lockout when the league's labor agreement expires on March 3?
"I'd bet everything I had on it," Birk said.
Birk, who played in six Pro Bowls while playing center for the Vikings, is back in town following a family vacation in Mexico after the Ravens' season ended with a playoff loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Although he's certain that NFL players will be locked out by owners when the league's labor deal expires at midnight, he said he doesn't expect new contract talks to become critical until August or September.
"I'm sure that won't happen until the deadline for the season approaches," Birk said. "Unfortunately, that's how big business gets done."
The Harvard-educated football player from St. Paul has played two seasons of his $12 million, three-year contract with Baltimore and plans to return next season. Birk, 34, who has played 13 years in the NFL, would seem a perfect choice to head the players union.
"I don't think so," he said. "I'm a pretty simple guy. I'm not looking for more frustration in my life. And this is kind of frustrating.
"You're talking about the business of the NFL. Everybody's making money; things are great. To have this lockout and have to renegotiate a CBA. ... I don't want to say there's dirty tactics, but some of the things that have to go
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on to continue playing and reach an agreement just seem unnecessary to me."
NFL players will have their health insurance canceled if there's no new labor deal by March 3.
"It seems like there's a better way to go at it than to lock the players out, cancel our health insurance, all these things," Birk said. "Especially with players' careers being as short as they are and as fragile as they are. This is something guys have worked for their whole lives, to get an opportunity to play in the NFL. And worst-case scenario, if we miss a season of football, that's just shameful."
Still, in the end, Birk doesn't think it will come to that.
"I think common sense will prevail in the end, an agreement will be reached, and I don't believe any games will be missed next season," he said. "But it's all about the money. Money drives a lot of things, and it drives football. I just feel it's too bad."
Birk said the NFL's current labor deal includes essentially a 50-50 revenue split between owners and players.
"Somebody will try to tell you it's 60-40 for the players, but it's not," he said. "We're partners in this deal, and it's 50-50. Maybe I'm a little too simple-minded, but 50-50 seems like a fair deal.
"You're talking about $9 billion, $10 billion a year right now that the sport is generating. That should be enough to go around."
And I hope they do. Every other league has went through this and exposed the greed these people - owners and players alike - harbor.