In my own mid-major predictions, Conference USA will have two members make the NCAA tournament this season. The question that comes to mind is which two. Tonight will almost certainly help answer that question because the top four schools in the league standings (UTEP, UAB, Memphis and Southern Miss) are playing each other in a possible preview of next month's C-USA Tournament semifinals, with UAB at Memphis along with UTEP at Southern Miss.
Depending on the outcomes, either UTEP, UAB or Memphis will be in first place by the time you wake up Thursday, which is a good place to start when trying to explain just how competitive this league has become. The current state of things can be attributed partly to Memphis still transitioning into the post John Calipari era and partly to the rest of the league (Southern Miss, especially) improving. Either way, the result has C-USA with four schools in the top 55 of the RPI and all within a game of each other in the league standings, meaning this is the best and most balanced version of C-USA since Louisville, Cincinnati, Marquette, DePaul, Charlotte and Saint Louis exited after the 2004-05 season, even though C-USA has been under the national radar this year.
I do predict that there will be 2 C-USA teams punching their tickets to the Big Dance, but trying to determine which exact two remains a tough projection to make.